Sport Picks
Pena Deportiva vs Son Ferrer
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Pena Deportiva and Son Ferrer finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Son Ferrer.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pena Deportiva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pena Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pena Deportiva's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pena Deportiva here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Deportiva | Son Ferrer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 3.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Son Ferrer
2:0
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Pena Deportiva
0:1
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Son Ferrer
0:1
Aug 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Pena Deportiva
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pena Deportiva 85 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pena Deportiva Son Ferrer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pena Deportiva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pena Deportiva scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Son Ferrer let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.
Son Ferrer lost 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Pena Deportiva VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Deportiva
(Home) 20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Manacor
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 3
Son Ferrer
(Away) 19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1 Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1 Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1 Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Espana
6 : 1 Son Ferrer
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1 Son Ferrer
13 Apr
Ferriolense
4 : 0 Son Ferrer
16 Mar
Manacor
4 : 0 Son Ferrer
03 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 Son Ferrer
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constancia | 38 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 68:21 | 85 |
| 2 | Binissalem | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 59:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 76 |
| 4 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 66:28 | 75 |
| 5 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:23 | 72 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 61:35 | 67 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:40 | 67 |
| 8 | Campos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 38:31 | 56 |
| 9 | UD Poblense | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 49:39 | 55 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Son Ferrer | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:50 | 42 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:54 | 39 |
| 15 | Espana | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Atletico Isleno | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 46:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 44:60 | 36 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 41:65 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:87 | 23 |
| 20 | Alaior | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35:76 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
