Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pena vs CD Ardoi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Gonzalez I.
68' Event
Albizu A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Pena and CD Ardoi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pena
30%
Draws
29%
CD Ardoi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CD Ardoi haven't matched Pena's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Pena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Pena Clean Sheet 17%
CD Ardoi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena CD Ardoi
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs CD Ardoi
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Pena
1:2
Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Pena
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs CD Ardoi
0:0
May 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Pena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albizu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

CD Ardoi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 39 / 100
CD Ardoi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena CD Ardoi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

CD Ardoi has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Pena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pena VS CD Ardoi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena

(Home)
26 Sept
Barcelona B
4 : 0
Pena
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
Page 1 of 7

CD Ardoi

(Away)
09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)