Sport Picks
Penafiel U23 vs Maritimo U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Next Gen U23 
Match Events
27'
27'
39'
39'
50'
50'
AI Match Summary
The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Penafiel U23 and Maritimo U23 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Penafiel U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Maritimo U23 come out ahead of Penafiel U23 on wins alone.
- Model gives Penafiel U23 a 49% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Penafiel U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penafiel U23 | Maritimo U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 29 |
| Wins | 0 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Penafiel U23 vs Maritimo U23
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penafiel U23 67 / 100
Maritimo U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penafiel U23 Maritimo U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penafiel U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Penafiel U23 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).
Maritimo U23 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Penafiel U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Penafiel U23 VS Maritimo U23
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Penafiel U23
(Home) 29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0 Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1 Santa Clara U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3 Penafiel U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1 Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 2
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1 Santa Clara U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1 Leixoes U23
18 Aug
Penafiel U23
2 : 2 Maritimo U23
Maritimo U23
(Away) 25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3 Benfica U23
20 Sept
Maritimo U23
0 : 2 FC Felgueiras U23
15 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 1 Maritimo U23
08 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 1 Gil Vicente U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0 Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 1 Maritimo U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0 Maritimo U23
18 Aug
Penafiel U23
2 : 2 Maritimo U23
21 Apr
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 0 Maritimo U23
08 Apr
Rio Ave U23
3 : 1 Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 3 | Estoril U23 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Felgueiras U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Farense U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga U23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Vizela U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Benfica U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense U23 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Leiria U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Leixoes U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Penafiel U23 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 18 | Estrela da Amadora U23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 19 | Portimonense U23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Maritimo U23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)
