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Penafiel vs Dep. A Coruna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alvarez D.
28' Event
Sanchez K.
49' Event
Fuentes J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Penafiel
35%
Draws
15%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Penafiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. A Coruna have won more games recently than Penafiel.
  • Model gives Penafiel a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.31 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Penafiel vs Dep. A Coruna
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penafiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuentes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel 85 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel Dep. A Coruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penafiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Penafiel's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dep. A Coruna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Penafiel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel VS Dep. A Coruna
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel

(Home)
09 Oct
Penafiel
1 : 2
AFS
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
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Dep. A Coruna

(Away)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
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