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Penafiel vs Gil Vicente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Penafiel and Gil Vicente finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gil Vicente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Penafiel
30%
Draws
19%
Gil Vicente
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penafiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gil Vicente haven't matched Penafiel's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Penafiel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gil Vicente have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 20%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel Gil Vicente
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Penafiel vs Gil Vicente
0:2
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs Penafiel
3:1
Jul 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs Penafiel
2:0
Oct 19, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Penafiel vs Gil Vicente
0:2
Mar 31, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Gil Vicente vs Penafiel
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel 85 / 100
Gil Vicente 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel Gil Vicente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penafiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Penafiel stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Penafiel found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Gil Vicente has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel VS Gil Vicente
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel

(Home)
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2
Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3
Penafiel
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Gil Vicente

(Away)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1
Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0
Casa Pia
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