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Penafiel vs Gil Vicente

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Penafiel and Gil Vicente finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gil Vicente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Penafiel
30%
Draws
64%
Gil Vicente
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gil Vicente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Penafiel haven't matched Gil Vicente's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gil Vicente's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gil Vicente have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 16%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel Gil Vicente
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Penafiel vs Gil Vicente
0:2
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs Penafiel
3:1
Jul 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Gil Vicente vs Penafiel
2:0
Oct 19, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Penafiel vs Gil Vicente
0:2
Mar 31, 2018 Liga Portugal 2
Gil Vicente vs Penafiel
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel 10 / 100
Gil Vicente 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel Gil Vicente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gil Vicente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Penafiel scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Penafiel remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel VS Gil Vicente
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel

(Home)
15 Aug
Torreense
2 : 2
Penafiel
08 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 1
Portimonense
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Gil Vicente
24 Jul
Penafiel
0 : 2
Leganes
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Gil Vicente

(Away)
09 Aug
Gil Vicente
1 : 0
Rio Ave
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2
Gil Vicente
25 Jul
Gil Vicente
2 : 2
Moreirense
22 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 0
FC Porto
18 Jul
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
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