Sport Picks
Penalva do Castelo vs FC Cesarense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Penalva do Castelo and FC Cesarense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Penalva do Castelo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penalva do Castelo | FC Cesarense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cesarense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Penalva do Castelo scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Penalva do Castelo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Penalva do Castelo
(Home)FC Cesarense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Espinho | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 52:20 | 69 |
| 2 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 52:27 | 69 |
| 3 | Gondomar | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 50:22 | 64 |
| 4 | Agueda | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 43:26 | 60 |
| 5 | Lusitano FCV | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:28 | 59 |
| 6 | Sanjoanense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 44:34 | 55 |
| 7 | Amarante FC | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:28 | 54 |
| 8 | Coimbroes | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 43:39 | 49 |
| 9 | Maritimo B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 53:40 | 49 |
| 10 | Paredes | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 11 | U. Madeira | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 28:35 | 44 |
| 12 | Leca | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 34:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Pedras Rubras | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:43 | 42 |
| 14 | Cinfaes | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 33:40 | 41 |
| 15 | Gafanha | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 46:69 | 37 |
| 16 | Penalva do Castelo | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27:66 | 28 |
| 17 | FC Cesarense | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 37:55 | 25 |
| 18 | Meda | 34 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 21:99 | 2 |