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Penang vs Star City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malaysia Malaysia

Super League Bandaraya Stadium, Pulau Pinang
Sat, Dec 5, 2026
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penang host Star City in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Penang have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Star City's 1.73 scored and 1.8 conceded. Past meetings favor Star City slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.50, favoring Star City. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Penang
20%
Draws
47%
Star City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Star City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Star City come out ahead of Penang on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Star City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Penang Clean Sheet 16%
Star City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penang Star City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Super League
Star City vs Penang
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
Penang vs Star City
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penang 11 / 100
Star City 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penang Star City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Star City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Star City conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Penang has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Penang scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Penang VS Star City
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Penang

(Home)
09 Oct
Johor DT
4 : 1
Penang
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 6

Star City

(Away)
16 Oct
Kelantan Red Warrior
2 : 5
Star City
11 Oct
Selangor
2 : 3
Star City
19 Sept
Star City
1 : 4
Selangor
12 Sept
Star City
1 : 1
Terengganu
08 Sept
Star City
2 : 0
Kedah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Johor DT 5 5 0 0 25:0 15
2 Kuching City FC 5 4 0 1 15:4 12
3 Selangor 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
4 Sabah 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
5 DPMM 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
6 Kuala Lumpur City 5 2 0 3 4:13 6
7 Terengganu 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
8 Star City 5 1 2 2 9:15 5
9 Negeri Sembilan FA 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
10 Penang 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Melaka FC 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
12 Kelantan Red Warrior 6 0 0 6 6:29 0
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