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Penapolense vs Taquaritinga

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Penapolense Logo

Penapolense

2 - 2
FT
Taquaritinga Logo

Taquaritinga

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Magal
21' Event
Caio
58' Event
Luan Carioca
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Penapolense
35%
Draws
31%
Taquaritinga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Penapolense haven't matched Taquaritinga's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Penapolense a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Taquaritinga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Taquaritinga, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 20%
Taquaritinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penapolense Taquaritinga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 14 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Taquaritinga
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Penapolense
1:1
Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Penapolense
3:0
Feb 26, 2025 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Taquaritinga
1:2
Mar 20, 2024 Paulista A4
Taquaritinga vs Penapolense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penapolense Compare

Top Goalscorer Magal
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Carioca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Taquaritinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penapolense 42 / 100
Taquaritinga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penapolense Taquaritinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Penapolense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Penapolense scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Taquaritinga has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penapolense VS Taquaritinga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penapolense

(Home)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
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Taquaritinga

(Away)
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
11 Apr
Taquaritinga
1 : 1
Penapolense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 1
Taquaritinga
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Lemense 0
Sao-Carlense 2
Barretos EC 1
Sao Caetano 1
Jacarei FC 0
Penapolense 3
Taquaritinga 3
Semi-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Sao-Carlense 2
Sao Caetano 3
Penapolense 4
Final
Inter de Bebedouro 2
Penapolense 3