Sport Picks
Penarol vs Chaco Petrolero
South America
Copa Libertadores 1971 Estadio Centenario, Montevideo 
AI Match Summary
Penarol in this Copa Libertadores 1971 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Penarol lately — more wins on the board than Chaco Petrolero.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Penarol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penarol, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Penarol Clean Sheet 19%
Chaco Petrolero Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penarol | Chaco Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 1971 Copa Libertadores
Penarol vs Chaco Petrolero
1:0
Mar 13, 1971 Copa Libertadores
Chaco Petrolero vs Penarol
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penarol 32 / 100
Chaco Petrolero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penarol Chaco Petrolero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penarol found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Chaco Petrolero has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Penarol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Penarol VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Penarol
(Home) 18 Jul
Penarol
3 : 0 Boston River
12 Jul
Racing Montevideo
1 : 1 Penarol
07 Jun
CA Cerro
0 : 1 Penarol
01 Jun
Penarol
0 : 1 Central Esp.
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1 Santa Fe
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18 Jul
Penarol
3 : 0 Boston River
01 Jun
Penarol
0 : 1 Central Esp.
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1 Santa Fe
22 May
Penarol
1 : 1 Corinthians
16 May
Penarol
2 : 1 Liverpool M.
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Chaco Petrolero
(Away) 15 Jul
Chaco Petrolero
3 : 0 Academia del Balompie
12 Jul
Huayna Potosi Palcoco
1 : 4 Chaco Petrolero
08 Jul
Fatic
1 : 1 Chaco Petrolero
02 Jul
Hiska Nacional
3 : 2 Chaco Petrolero
18 Jun
Academia del Balompie
0 : 0 Chaco Petrolero
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Huayna Potosi Palcoco
1 : 4 Chaco Petrolero
08 Jul
Fatic
1 : 1 Chaco Petrolero
02 Jul
Hiska Nacional
3 : 2 Chaco Petrolero
18 Jun
Academia del Balompie
0 : 0 Chaco Petrolero
05 Dec
Independiente
5 : 0 Chaco Petrolero
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Chaco Petrolero | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 4 | The Strongest | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:21 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Deportivo Miranda | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 5 |
| 4 | Galicia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | U. Espanola | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Colo Colo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Guarani | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 2 | Emelec | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Dep. Cali | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Junior | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 1971 (Second stage)