Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores 1971 Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Penarol

1 - 0

Chaco Petrolero

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penarol in this Copa Libertadores 1971 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Penarol

30%

Draws

31%

Chaco Petrolero

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Penarol lately — more wins on the board than Chaco Petrolero.
42% — that's where the model lands on Penarol taking it.
Penarol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Penarol, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Penarol Clean Sheet 20%

Chaco Petrolero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penarol	Chaco Petrolero
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	6
Draws	8	5
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	1.52	1.07
Goals Conceded	0.93	2.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 1971 Copa Libertadores

Penarol vs Chaco Petrolero

1:0

Mar 13, 1971 Copa Libertadores

Chaco Petrolero vs Penarol

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 42 / 100

Chaco Petrolero 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penarol Chaco Petrolero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chaco Petrolero conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Penarol scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Penarol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)

13 Sept

Penarol

3 : 1

Albion

05 Sept

Danubio

0 : 4

Penarol

02 Sept

Atenas

2 : 2

Penarol

30 Aug

Penarol

0 : 1

Club Nacional

26 Aug

Penarol

1 : 0

Montevideo City

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Chaco Petrolero

(Away)

15 Jul

Chaco Petrolero

3 : 0

Academia del Balompie

12 Jul

Huayna Potosi Palcoco

1 : 4

Chaco Petrolero

08 Jul

Fatic

1 : 1

Chaco Petrolero

02 Jul

Hiska Nacional

3 : 2

Chaco Petrolero

18 Jun

Academia del Balompie

0 : 0

Chaco Petrolero

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