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Penarol vs Taruma

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Taysson
80' Event
Taysson

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2025 game between Penarol and Taruma finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penarol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Penarol
6%
Draws
4%
Taruma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Penarol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Penarol a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Penarol Clean Sheet 20%
Taruma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol Taruma
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Amazonense 2
Penarol vs Taruma
2:0
Feb 27, 2013 Amazonense
Penarol vs Taruma
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer Taysson
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Taruma Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 85 / 100
Taruma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol Taruma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taruma let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Penarol scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Penarol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS Taruma
1.17 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
67% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
29 Jun
Penarol
1 : 2
Itacoatiara
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
15 Jun
Penarol
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
30 May
Manicore
1 : 1
Penarol
25 May
Penarol
2 : 0
Taruma
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Taruma

(Away)
29 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Taruma
23 Jun
Taruma
1 : 1
Manicore
08 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 3
Taruma
01 Jun
Taruma
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
25 May
Penarol
2 : 0
Taruma
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol43106:110
2Taruma42115:37
3Unidos do Alvorada42023:36
4Manicore41215:55
5RB do Norte40041:80
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Operario Esporte Clube431010:510
2Itacoatiara42206:18
3Sul America41125:74
4Fast Clube41125:84
5Cliper40134:91
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)