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Penarol W vs Cerro Porteno W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2019 Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Peralta A.
87'
Velazco X.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Cerro Porteno W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penarol W
15%
Draws
85%
Cerro Porteno W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerro Porteno W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cerro Porteno W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cerro Porteno W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Cerro Porteno W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 19%
Cerro Porteno W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Cerro Porteno W
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 1 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.69 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2019 Copa Libertadores Women
Penarol W vs Cerro Porteno W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cerro Porteno W Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 28 / 100
Cerro Porteno W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Cerro Porteno W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerro Porteno W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Porteno W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Cerro Porteno W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Penarol W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Cerro Porteno W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0
Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0
Penarol W
Page 1 of 4

Cerro Porteno W

(Away)
12 Nov
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Cerro Porteno W
09 Nov
Avai Kindermann W
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno W
06 Nov
Cerro Porteno W
2 : 0
Yaracuyanos W
03 Nov
Cerro Porteno W
1 : 0
S. Morning W
28 Oct
Cerro Porteno W
1 : 3
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerro Porteno W 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Penarol W 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Colo Colo W 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cuenca W 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Ferroviaria W 3 2 0 1 15:4 6
3 Estudiantes de Caracas W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Mundo Futuro W 3 0 0 3 2:17 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 America de Cali W 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Libertad Limpeno W 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Nanas W 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UAI Urquiza W 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 S. Morning W 3 1 2 0 8:3 5
3 Ind. Medellin W 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Municipalidad De Majes W 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)