Sport Picks

Penarol W vs Doce Mel W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women

Penarol W

1 - 2

Doce Mel W

Our Tip

Match Events

Jessica

34'

da Silva Cascaes C.

37'

Flavia

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Penarol W

20%

Draws

16%

Doce Mel W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penarol W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Penarol W carry the better recent record into this one.
Penarol W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Penarol W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Doce Mel W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Penarol W Clean Sheet 13%

Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penarol W	Doce Mel W
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	19	9
Draws	3	6
Losses	9	15
Goals Scored	2.71	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.87	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women

Penarol W vs Doce Mel W

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol W Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Cascaes C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Doce Mel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jessica

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 66 / 100

Doce Mel W 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penarol W Doce Mel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penarol W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Doce Mel W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Doce Mel W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Doce Mel W

1.88 Goals Scored 1

2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)

22 Aug

Penarol W

6 : 2

Amazonas Legis W

11 Aug

3B da Amazonia W

9 : 1

Penarol W

07 Aug

Penarol W

0 : 3

Taruma W

31 May

Penarol W

1 : 1

Pantanal W

17 May

Pantanal W

4 : 1

Penarol W

Page 1 of 7

Doce Mel W

(Away)

08 Aug

Acao W

3 : 2

Doce Mel W

02 Aug

Doce Mel W

0 : 4

Taubate W

25 Jul

UD Alagoana W

2 : 1

Doce Mel W

31 May

Doce Mel W

0 : 0

3B da Amazonia W

28 May

Cruzeiro W

5 : 0

Doce Mel W

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Fluminense W -

TBD -

Minas Brasilia W -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC W -

Cruzeiro W -

TBD -

Penarol W -

TBD -

Alagoinhas W -

TBD -

Doce Mel W -

Perolas Negras W -

TBD -

Pantanal W 1

Sao Joao PI W 2

Ipojuca W -

TBD -

Remo W -

TBD -

CR Flamengo W -

Taubate W -

TBD -

3B da Amazonia W -

Mixto W -

TBD -

Acao W -

Botafogo RJ W -

TBD -

EC Juventude W -

Guarani de Paripueira W -

TBD -

Sao Jose W -

Prosperidade W -

TBD -

Brasil de Farroupilha W -

TBD -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

TBD -

UD Alagoana W -

TBD -

Paraiso EC W -

TBD -

Ypiranga AP W -

Palmeiras W -

TBD -

Corinthians W -

Atletico-MG W -

TBD -

Cresspom W -

TBD -

Juventude W -

TBD -

Vitoria W -

Galvez W -

TBD -

Uniao RN W -

TBD -

Atletico-PI W -

TBD -

Santos W -

Sampaio Correa W 3

Portuguesa AP W 2

TBD -

Várzea Grande EC W -

Sao Raimundo RR W -

TBD -

Heips W -

Coritiba W -

TBD -

Mixto PB W -

TBD -

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -

Internacional W -

TBD -

Gremio W -

Vasco W -

TBD -

Araguari W -

TBD -

Itapuense W -

TBD -

America Mineiro W -

Rolim de Moura W -

TBD -

Mauaense W -

TBD -

Itacoatiara W -

TBD -

Sao Paulo W -

Realidade Jovem W -

TBD -

Itabirito W -

TBD -

Ceara W -

Sport Recife W -

TBD -

Criciuma W -

TBD -

R4 EC W -

Tiradentes PA W -

TBD -

Planalto EC W -

TBD -

Paysandu PA W -

TBD -

Bahia W -

1/64-finals

Fluminense W -

TBD -

Minas Brasilia W -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC W -

Cruzeiro W -

TBD -

Penarol W -

Alagoinhas W -

TBD -

Doce Mel W -

Perolas Negras W 1

Sao Joao PI W 2

Ipojuca W 2

Remo W 1

TBD -

CR Flamengo W -

Taubate W -

TBD -

3B da Amazonia W -

Mixto W -

TBD -

Acao W -

Botafogo RJ W -

TBD -

EC Juventude W -

Guarani de Paripueira W 3

Sao Jose W 4

Prosperidade W 1

Brasil de Farroupilha W 0

TBD -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

TBD -

UD Alagoana W -

TBD -

Paraiso EC W 1

Ypiranga AP W 2

Palmeiras W -

TBD -

Corinthians W -

Atletico-MG W -

TBD -

Cresspom W 0

Juventude W 1

TBD -

Vitoria W -

Galvez W 1

Uniao RN W 5

TBD -

Atletico-PI W -

TBD -

Santos W -

Sampaio Correa W 2

Várzea Grande EC W 1

Sao Raimundo RR W 0

Heips W 1

Coritiba W 1

Mixto PB W 0

TBD -

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -

Internacional W -

TBD -

Gremio W -

Vasco W -

TBD -

Araguari W 5

Itapuense W 2

TBD -

America Mineiro W -

Rolim de Moura W 1

Mauaense W 2

TBD -

Itacoatiara W -

TBD -

Sao Paulo W -

Realidade Jovem W 1

Itabirito W 2

TBD -

Ceara W -

Sport Recife W -

TBD -

Criciuma W 1

R4 EC W 0

Tiradentes PA W 2

Planalto EC W 4

TBD -

Paysandu PA W -

TBD -

Bahia W -

1/32-finals

Fluminense W -

TBD -

Minas Brasilia W 1

Vila Nova FC W 0

Cruzeiro W -

TBD -

Penarol W 1

Doce Mel W 2

Sao Joao PI W 7

Ipojuca W 0

TBD -

CR Flamengo W -

Taubate W 0

3B da Amazonia W 1

Mixto W 0

Acao W 1

Botafogo RJ W -

TBD -

EC Juventude W -

Sao Jose W 2

Prosperidade W 1

TBD -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

TBD -

UD Alagoana W 4

Ypiranga AP W 1

Palmeiras W -

TBD -

Corinthians W -

Atletico-MG W -

TBD -

Juventude W 2

Vitoria W 3

Uniao RN W 0

Atletico-PI W 1

TBD -

Santos W -

Sampaio Correa W 2

Heips W 3

Coritiba W 3

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 1

Internacional W -

TBD -

Gremio W -

Vasco W 5

Araguari W 1

TBD -

America Mineiro W -

Mauaense W 3

Itacoatiara W 0

TBD -

Sao Paulo W -

Itabirito W 2

Ceara W 0

Sport Recife W 3

Criciuma W 0

Planalto EC W 2

Paysandu PA W 1

TBD -

Bahia W -

1/16-finals

Fluminense W 2

Minas Brasilia W 0

Cruzeiro W 5

Doce Mel W 0

Sao Joao PI W 0

CR Flamengo W 2

3B da Amazonia W 2

Acao W 0

Botafogo RJ W 3

EC Juventude W 0

Sao Jose W 1

Bragantino W 4

Ferroviaria W 8

UD Alagoana W 0

Palmeiras W 0

Corinthians W 1

Atletico-MG W 3

Vitoria W 1

Atletico-PI W 2

Santos W 1

Heips W 0

Coritiba W 2

Internacional W 1

Gremio W 0

Vasco W 1

America Mineiro W 0

Mauaense W 0

Sao Paulo W 3

Itabirito W 2

Sport Recife W 1

Planalto EC W 0

Bahia W 1

1/8-finals

Fluminense W 2

Cruzeiro W 1

CR Flamengo W 1

3B da Amazonia W 0

Botafogo RJ W 0

Bragantino W 2

Ferroviaria W 1

Corinthians W 0

Atletico-MG W 2

Atletico-PI W 1

Coritiba W 0

Internacional W 1

Vasco W 0

Sao Paulo W 1

Itabirito W 0

Bahia W 1

Quarter-finals

Fluminense W -

CR Flamengo W -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

Atletico-MG W -

Internacional W -

Sao Paulo W -

Bahia W -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Penarol W vs Doce Mel W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil

Penarol W

Doce Mel W

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Penarol W Compare

Doce Mel W Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

Doce Mel W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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