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Penarol W vs Manaus W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2025
Penarol W Logo

Penarol W

1 - 0
FT
Manaus W Logo

Manaus W

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Santos F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense Women 2025 game between Penarol W and Manaus W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penarol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Penarol W
20%
Draws
57%
Manaus W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manaus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Manaus W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amazonense Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%
Manaus W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Manaus W
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.73 3.78
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Amazonense Women
Penarol W vs Manaus W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Manaus W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 10 / 100
Manaus W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Manaus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manaus W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Manaus W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 18 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Penarol W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Manaus W
3 Goals Scored 2.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)
22 Aug
Penarol W
6 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
11 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
9 : 1
Penarol W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
Page 1 of 6

Manaus W

(Away)
14 Sept
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Manaus W
23 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 3
Manaus W
19 Aug
Manaus W
5 : 1
Amazonas Legis W
14 Aug
Manaus W
13 : 1
Manicore W
10 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 1
Manaus W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol W 5 5 0 0 24:1 15
2 Manaus W 5 3 1 1 22:4 10
3 Taruma W 5 2 2 1 15:13 8
4 Itacoatiara W 5 2 0 3 21:12 6
5 Amazonas Legis W 5 0 1 4 7:36 1
6 Manicore W 5 0 2 3 7:30 -2
Promotion - Amazonense Women 2025 (Play Offs)