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Penarol W vs Paraguay W

South America South America

Brasil Ladies Cup Women Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Acosta F.
39' Event
Villa J.
55' Event
Acosta F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Paraguay W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Penarol W
6%
Draws
90%
Paraguay W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paraguay W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Penarol W haven't matched Paraguay W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Paraguay W taking it.
  • Paraguay W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraguay W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 12%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Paraguay W
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Brasil Ladies Cup Women
Penarol W vs Paraguay W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paraguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 10 / 100
Paraguay W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Paraguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Penarol W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Away concern: Paraguay W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Paraguay W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0
Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0
Penarol W
Page 1 of 4

Paraguay W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CR Flamengo W4
Penarol W1
Palmeiras W3
Paraguay W0
Final
CR Flamengo W1
Palmeiras W3
Penarol W1
Paraguay W2