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Penicuik vs Kilwinning Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Penicuik
15%
Draws
57%
Kilwinning Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilwinning Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kilwinning Rangers come out ahead of Penicuik on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Kilwinning Rangers taking it.
  • Kilwinning Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penicuik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Penicuik Clean Sheet 10%
Kilwinning Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penicuik Kilwinning Rangers
Matches Played 6 19
Wins 3 11
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2 2.42
Goals Conceded 2 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Scottish Cup
Penicuik vs Kilwinning Rangers
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penicuik 10 / 100
Kilwinning Rangers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penicuik Kilwinning Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kilwinning Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Penicuik scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Kilwinning Rangers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Penicuik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penicuik VS Kilwinning Rangers
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Penicuik

(Home)
03 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 1
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Penicuik
0 : 6
Pollok
18 Sept
Penicuik
1 : 3
Tranent FC
23 Nov
Partick
1 : 0
Penicuik
26 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 0
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 2

Kilwinning Rangers

(Away)
03 Oct
Penicuik
3 : 1
Kilwinning Rangers
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
15 Sept
Albion Rovers
0 : 3
Kilwinning Rangers
12 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
4 : 0
Celtic B
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Boness United 3
Irvine Meadow 2
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Forfar Athletic -
Edinburgh City -
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Kelty Hearts -
Rothes 0
Brora Rangers 9
Cowdenbeath 4
Berwick 0
Newton Stewart 1
Johnstone Burgh 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
Formartine Utd 2
Brechin 3
Buckie Thistle 2
Strathspey Thistle 3
Dalbeattie Star 2
Lochee United 3
Inverurie Loco Works 2
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Spartans -
Haddington Athletic 0
Cumbernauld Colts 2
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy 1
Banks O' Dee 2
Hill Of Beath 2
Glasgow University 0
Musselburgh 2
Lossiemouth 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Largs Thistle 1
Dunipace 5
Preston Athletic 2
Dumbarton -
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Keith 2
Stonehaven 1
Nairn County 0
Gretna 2008 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Deveronvale 2
Troon FC 3
Caledonian Braves 4
Fraserburgh 0
Beith 0
Huntly 3
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Annan -
Forres Mechanics 0
Stirling University 1
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Elgin City -
Renfrew 3
Broxburn Athletic 2
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Bonnyton Thistle 2
East Stirlingshire 0
Clachnacuddin 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Stranraer -
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Tayport FC 3
Wick Academy 0
Penicuik 3
Kilwinning Rangers 1
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Clyde -
Threave Rovers 3
Invergordon 2
Pollok 4
Albion Rovers 1
Linlithgow Rose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Tranent FC 3
Turriff United 1
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1/64-finals
Boness United -
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Edinburgh City -
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Cowdenbeath -
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Formartine Utd -
Brechin -
Strathspey Thistle -
Lochee United -
Spartans -
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Banks O' Dee -
Hill Of Beath -
Musselburgh -
Largs Thistle -
Dunipace -
Dumbarton -
Keith -
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Cumnock Juniors -
Troon FC -
Caledonian Braves -
Huntly -
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Stirling University -
Elgin City -
Renfrew -
Stirling -
Bonnyton Thistle -
Clachnacuddin -
Stranraer -
Tayport FC -
Penicuik -
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Threave Rovers -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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