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Peninsula U23 vs Gold Coast U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 Logo

Peninsula U23

3 - 2
FT
Gold Coast U23 Logo

Gold Coast U23

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Peninsula U23 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peninsula U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Peninsula U23
15%
Draws
85%
Gold Coast U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gold Coast U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gold Coast U23 have won more games recently than Peninsula U23.
  • Gold Coast U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peninsula U23 Gold Coast U23
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 6 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.64 2.36
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Gold Coast U23 vs Peninsula U23
2:4
Mar 22, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs Gold Coast U23
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peninsula U23 10 / 100
Gold Coast U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peninsula U23 Gold Coast U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gold Coast U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Peninsula U23 scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Gold Coast U23 let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

Peninsula U23 VS Gold Coast U23
1.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peninsula U23

(Home)
16 Aug
Peninsula U23
0 : 3
Brisbane City U23
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
5 : 2
Peninsula U23
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
11 Jul
Peninsula U23
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
Page 1 of 5

Gold Coast U23

(Away)
16 Aug
Gold Coast U23
4 : 3
Eastern Suburbs U23
08 Aug
Brisbane City U23
0 : 1
Gold Coast U23
01 Aug
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
2 : 4
Gold Coast U23
18 Jul
Gold Coast U23
1 : 0
Queensland Lions U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)