Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peninsula U23 vs QLD State Team U17

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

QLD State Team U17 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored QLD State Team U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Peninsula U23
20%
Draws
38%
QLD State Team U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peninsula U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • QLD State Team U17 have won more games recently than Peninsula U23.
  • Model gives Peninsula U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 10%
QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peninsula U23 QLD State Team U17
Matches Played 19 19
Wins 6 7
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
QLD State Team U17 vs Peninsula U23
3:4
Jun 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs QLD State Team U17
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peninsula U23 40 / 100
QLD State Team U17 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peninsula U23 QLD State Team U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QLD State Team U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Peninsula U23 scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

QLD State Team U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peninsula U23 VS QLD State Team U17
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Peninsula U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
11 Jul
Peninsula U23
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
04 Jul
Eastern Suburbs U23
1 : 1
Peninsula U23
01 Jul
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4
Peninsula U23
28 Jun
Peninsula U23
3 : 5
QLD State Team U17
Page 1 of 4

QLD State Team U17

(Away)
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2
QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0
QLD State Team U17
12 Jul
QLD State Team U17
1 : 3
Rochedale U23
05 Jul
Brisbane City U23
0 : 2
QLD State Team U17
01 Jul
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4
Peninsula U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rochedale U2319132451:2441
2Moreton City Excelsior U2319122552:2438
3Queensland Lions U2319115345:2038
4Gold Coast Knights SC U2318121547:2937
5Eastern Suburbs U231993738:2430
6Gold Coast U231892742:4029
7Olympic FC U2319721032:4223
8QLD State Team U1719711138:4822
9Peninsula U2319621134:4620
10Wynnum Wolves U2319621127:4320
11Brisbane City U2319531135:5218
12Magic United TFA FC U2319311514:6310
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)