Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peninsula U23 vs QLD State Team U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

QLD State Team U17 in this NPL Queensland U23 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored QLD State Team U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Peninsula U23
15%
Draws
85%
QLD State Team U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: QLD State Team U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • QLD State Team U17 have won more games recently than Peninsula U23.
  • Model gives QLD State Team U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 10%
QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peninsula U23 QLD State Team U17
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 6 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.64 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
QLD State Team U17 vs Peninsula U23
3:4
Jun 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs QLD State Team U17
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peninsula U23 10 / 100
QLD State Team U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peninsula U23 QLD State Team U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QLD State Team U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QLD State Team U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Peninsula U23 scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

QLD State Team U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peninsula U23 VS QLD State Team U17
2.13 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peninsula U23

(Home)
16 Aug
Peninsula U23
0 : 3
Brisbane City U23
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
5 : 2
Peninsula U23
01 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
18 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
3 : 0
Peninsula U23
11 Jul
Peninsula U23
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves U23
Page 1 of 5

QLD State Team U17

(Away)
16 Aug
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1
QLD State Team U17
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3
Moreton City Excelsior U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2
QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0
QLD State Team U17
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)