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Penistone Church vs Whitby

England England

FA Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penistone Church play Whitby in the FA Cup 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Penistone Church averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Whitby averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Penistone Church won 1, Whitby won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 2, 2017 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Penistone Church and 0.93 for Whitby. This points to a Penistone Church double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Penistone Church
31%
Draws
31%
Whitby
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Penistone Church

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Penistone Church picked up more points recently compared to Whitby.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Penistone Church Clean Sheet 24%
Whitby Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penistone Church Whitby
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 2 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.22 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2017 FA Cup
Penistone Church vs Whitby
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penistone Church 39 / 100
Whitby 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penistone Church Whitby

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Penistone Church or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Penistone Church attacking → ← attacking Whitby

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penistone Church scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Whitby let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Penistone Church went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Whitby lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13