Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-4, with Chirk AAA FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chirk AAA FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Penrhyncoch come out ahead of Chirk AAA FC on wins alone.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Chirk AAA FC taking it.
- Penrhyncoch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chirk AAA FC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 20%
Chirk AAA FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Chirk AAA FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 2.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Chirk AAA FC
2:4
Feb 25, 2023 Cymru North
Chirk AAA FC vs Penrhyncoch
0:0
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Chirk AAA FC
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Chirk AAA FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penrhyncoch Chirk AAA FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chirk AAA FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chirk AAA FC let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Penrhyncoch found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Chirk AAA FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Penrhyncoch VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Penrhyncoch
(Home) 25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0 Rhyl
Page 1 of 4
Chirk AAA FC
(Away) 26 Apr
Buckley
3 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1 Porthmadog
29 Mar
Llanidloes Town
1 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
23 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
2 : 2 Caersws FC
16 Mar
Chirk AAA FC
3 : 2 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Buckley
3 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
29 Mar
Llanidloes Town
1 : 2 Chirk AAA FC
08 Mar
Denbigh
6 : 1 Chirk AAA FC
23 Feb
Prestatyn
2 : 1 Chirk AAA FC
03 Feb
Flint Town
3 : 0 Chirk AAA FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
