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Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Kellaway G.

AI Match Summary

Penrhyncoch in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penrhyncoch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
37%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhyncoch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Holyhead at 1.55 per game, Penrhyncoch at 1.5.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 11%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Holyhead
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
2:1
Mar 12, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Kellaway G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 30 / 100
Holyhead 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Penrhyncoch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Holyhead
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3
Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0
Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Holyhead

(Away)
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0
Holyhead
08 Aug
Holyhead
1 : 2
Brickfield Rangers
31 Jul
Ruthin Town
1 : 2
Holyhead
23 Jun
Holyhead
2 : 2
Holywell Town FC
18 Apr
Holyhead
5 : 1
Buckley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)