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Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Kellaway G.

AI Match Summary

Penrhyncoch in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penrhyncoch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
85%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holyhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Holyhead at 1.45 per game, Penrhyncoch at 1.29.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Holyhead taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Holyhead
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
2:1
Mar 12, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Holyhead
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Kellaway G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Holyhead Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 14 / 100
Holyhead 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holyhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Holyhead lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Holyhead
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7

Holyhead

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)