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Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Owen D.
35' Event
Rush C.
36' Event
James J.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Penrhyncoch and Mold Alexandra finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penrhyncoch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
85%
Mold Alexandra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mold Alexandra come out ahead of Penrhyncoch on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mold Alexandra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Mold Alexandra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Rush C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Mold Alexandra 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Mold Alexandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mold Alexandra conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mold Alexandra's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Mold Alexandra
0.38 Goals Scored 2.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
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Mold Alexandra

(Away)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)