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Penrhyndeudraeth FC vs Queens Park Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Penrhyndeudraeth FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
15%
Draws
28%
Queens Park
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhyndeudraeth FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Queens Park come out ahead of Penrhyndeudraeth FC on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Penrhyndeudraeth FC taking it.
  • Queens Park arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penrhyndeudraeth FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Penrhyndeudraeth FC Clean Sheet 10%
Queens Park Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyndeudraeth FC Queens Park
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 2 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 26
Goals Scored 1.67 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyndeudraeth FC vs Queens Park
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyndeudraeth FC 83 / 100
Queens Park 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyndeudraeth FC Queens Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penrhyndeudraeth FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyndeudraeth FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (6 games).

Queens Park let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Queens Park has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyndeudraeth FC VS Queens Park
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyndeudraeth FC

(Home)
04 Sept
Flint Town
5 : 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
14 Aug
Llanfair United
2 : 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
31 Oct
Guilsfield
3 : 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
03 Oct
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
2 : 0
Queens Park
04 Oct
Penrhyndeudraeth FC
2 : 3
Llanfair United
Page 1 of 2

Queens Park

(Away)
27 Sept
Dolgellau Athletic
8 : 3
Queens Park
21 Sept
Queens Park
1 : 6
Porthmadog
08 Oct
Queens Park
0 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
17 Sept
Talysarn Celts
0 : 1
Queens Park
09 Nov
Rhyl
3 : 0
Queens Park
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Cefn Albion 3
Conwy Borough 5
Aberdare Town 3
Cwmbach Royal Stars 0
Briton Ferry 2
Barry Town 3
Cefn Druids 4
Gresford 0
Bow Street 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 4
Carno FC 0
Berriew FC 1
Rhostyllen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llantwit Fardre 0
Pontypridd United 0
Penybont 2
Garden Village 2
Rhayader 1
Ton Pentre 0
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 1
Knighton Town 2
Caerleon 2
Treharris Athletic 1
Butetown FC 1
Afan Lido 5
Buckley 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 0
Gwalchmai 0
Mold Alexandra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 3
Corwen 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llanfair United 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli 6
Panteg 3
Llwydcoed 0
Cambrian United 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Aberaeron 0
Risca United 2
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Goytre Utd 4
Monmouth 2
Undy 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 2
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Town 1
Dinas Powys 4
Llandudno Junction 6
Caersws FC 1
Llanrug 2
Caernarfon 3
Penrhyncoch 5
Aberffraw 0
Waterloo Rovers 1
Trearddur Bay 7
West End 3
Treowen 2
Llandrindod 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 5
Prestatyn Sports 0
Pentraeth 0
Holyhead 8
Guilsfield 4
Glantraeth FC 2
Queens Park 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Taffs Well 1
Cwmamman United 2
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/32-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 4
Conwy Borough 1
Aberdare Town 2
Barry Town 7
Cefn Druids 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 2
Rhostyllen 0
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 2
Garden Village 1
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 6
Knighton Town 3
Caerleon 0
Afan Lido 2
Buckley 1
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 5
Llanfair United 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Llanelli 0
Cambrian United 2
Brecon Corinthians 3
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Goytre Utd 1
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Dinas Powys 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 4
Trearddur Bay 0
West End 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Holyhead 4
Guilsfield 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/16-finals
TNS 3
Aberystwyth 0
Denbigh 1
Barry Town 6
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 0
Flint Town 0
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
STM Sports 0
Holywell Town FC 0
Afan Lido 1
Buckley 1
Llandudno FC 0
Prestatyn 0
Connahs Q. 3
Port Talbot 2
Cambrian United 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Caernarfon 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Bangor City 1
Holyhead 2
Guilsfield 3
Cwmamman United 0
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
1/8-finals
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Cefn Druids 0
Newtown 6
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Afan Lido 0
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Port Talbot 3
Caerau Ely 0
Goytre AFC 3
Cwmbran Celtic 5
Bala 3
Holyhead 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Quarter-finals
TNS 1
Newtown 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 2
Port Talbot 2
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Bala 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Semi-finals
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Final
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0