Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penrith vs Padiham

England England

FA Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penrith in this FA Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrith
15%
Draws
85%
Padiham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Padiham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Padiham have won more games recently than Penrith.
  • Model gives Padiham a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Padiham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Penrith, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Penrith Clean Sheet 10%
Padiham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrith Padiham
Matches Played 9 13
Wins 2 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.31
Goals Conceded 3.67 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2013 FA Cup
Penrith vs Padiham
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrith 10 / 100
Padiham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrith Padiham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padiham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padiham has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Penrith scored in 67% of their last 9 games.

Away concern: Padiham has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrith VS Padiham
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
4 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrith

(Home)
05 Jul
Penrith
0 : 8
Carlisle
01 Jul
Penrith
1 : 5
Carlisle
13 Jul
Penrith
0 : 8
Carlisle
13 Jul
Penrith
0 : 4
Carlisle
16 Aug
Newcastle Benfield
2 : 1
Penrith
Page 1 of 2

Padiham

(Away)
29 Aug
Padiham
0 : 7
Pontefract Collieries
19 Jul
Silsden
2 : 4
Padiham
18 Jul
Atherton Collieries
7 : 1
Padiham
10 Jul
Padiham
4 : 2
Ramsbottom Utd
29 Sept
Padiham
0 : 6
Chester
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Macclesfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlton Town 3
Brigg Town 2
Basford Utd. 0
Matlock 2
Chorley 1
United of Manchester 0
TBD -
Vauxhall -
Stamford 3
Grantham Town 2
Walsall Wood 4
Wulfrunians 5
AFC Fylde 3
Blyth Spartans 1
Witton Albion 1
Ashton United 2
Hednesford -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
Skelmersdale 3
Northwich Victoria 0
Whitby 2
West Auckland Town 5
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Crook Town 1
Brighouse Town 4
Gainsborough -
TBD -
Hinckley 0
Rushall 3
Rugby 2
Nantwich 1
Dunkirk 1
Blaby & Whetstone 2
Coventry Sphinx 2
Tividale 1
TBD -
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Scarborough Athletic 4
Team Northumbria 0
Padiham 1
Penrith 3
TBD -
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TBD -
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Kidderminster -
Wrexham -
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Hyde -
Workington -
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Radcliffe 1
Burscough 2
Roofing 1
Morpeth 0
Bishop Auckland 2
FC Guisborough Town 4
Curzon Ashton 4
Marine 2
Spennymoor 0
Lancaster 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 4
Newcastle Town 2
Evesham 0
Stourbridge 3
Southport -
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Halesowen 2
Brocton 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Tipton Town 2
Frickley 4
Sheffield FC 1
Albion Sports 0
Marske United 3
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
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Harrogate -
Warrington Town 1
New Mills 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Ossett Town 4
Trafford 5
Droylsden 1
TBD -
Altrincham -
Mickleover 2
Loughborough Students 0
Barwell 0
Corby 3
Tamworth -
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Worksop 5
Bootle 1
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Leamington -
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Solihull Moors -
Nuneaton -
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Halifax -
North Ferriby United -
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Prescot Cables 0
Buxton 1
Cammell Laird 3
Worksop Parramore 1
Glossop North End 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
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Alfreton -
Brackley -
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Eastwood 2
Gresley 3
Stafford 2
Chasetown 0
TBD -
Boston United -
Atherstone 5
Redditch 4
Long Eaton 2
Coalville Town 3
Ramsbottom Utd 5
Stocksbridge 2
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Barrow -
Chester -
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Gateshead -
Hemel Hempstead 7
Margaretsbury 0
Mildenhall 2
FC Witham Town 4
Margate 2
Kingstonian 1
Shoreham 0
Dulwich Hamlet 6
Lewes 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Metropolitan Police 0
Chalfont St Peter 1
Whitehawk -
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Sutton -
Hornchurch 3
East Thurrock Utd 2
Gorleston 0
Spalding United 1
Haringey Borough 2
Wembley 0
Kings Langley 1
Wealdstone 6
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Hereford -
Ebbsfleet -
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Eastbourne United 0
Folkestone 2
Farnborough -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Dartford -
Barnet -
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Histon -
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Chesham 1
Royston Town 2
St Ives Town 4
Dereham 1
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Concord Rangers -
Chatham 2
East Preston 1
Horley Town 0
Whyteleafe 3
Faversham 3
Cray Wanderers 0
South Park 3
Horsham FC 6
Tonbridge -
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Hayes & Yeading -
Billericay 2
Leiston 0
Enfield Town 1
St. Albans 6
Dover Ath. -
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Hastings 2
Guernsey FC 3
Cambridge City 5
King’s Lynn 1
Cockfosters 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 10
Eastleigh -
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Winchester City 1
Mangotsfield 2
Maidenhead -
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Oxford City -
Boreham Wood -
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Uxbridge 2
Barton 3
Merstham 1
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Three Bridges 0
Maidstone 1
Bromley -
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Alton FC 1
Burgess Hill 8
Harlow 2
Lowestoft 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Heybridge 2
Bath City -
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Gosport Borough -
Bristol Manor Farm 5
Corsham Town 4
Merthyr Town 1
Bridgwater United 2
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Salisbury -
Gloucester City -
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Bideford 3
Larkhall 0
Chippenham Town 2
Yate 3
Arlesey 3
Hitchin 1
Bury Town 0
Thurrock 2
Bedford 6
Greenhouse 2
Ashford Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Weymouth 1
Fareham 0
Frome Town 1
Bognor Regis 5
Portchester 5
Horndean 0
Banbury 1
Cirencester 2
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Braintree -
Forest Green -
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Chipstead 2
Hassocks 1
Highmoor Ibis 0
Chertsey Town 4
Hendon 7
Biggleswade United 1
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Stortford -
Needham Market 3
Brantham 2
Hertford Town 2
Dunstable Town 1
Sleaford Town 2
Huntingdon 1
Burnham Ramblers 1
Sudbury 2
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Cambridge Utd -
Biggleswade Town 4
Wingate & Finchley 3
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Chelmsford -
Binfield 6
Ardley United 3
Carshalton 1
Leatherhead 2
North Greenford Utd. 4
Harrow Borough 3
Brentwood 4
FC Clacton 5
Neots 3
Wroxham 1
Aveley 2
Canvey Island 5
Shortwood 5
Aylesbury Vale 1
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Dorchester -
Burnham FC 4
Beaconsfield Town 2
North Leigh 1
Didcot 2
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Aldershot -
Woking -
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Luton -
Brislington 2
Wells City 1
Street 0
Truro 1
Basingstoke -
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Weston-super-Mare -
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Welling -
Hartley Wintney 2
Camberley Town 0
Tunbridge Wells 2
Eastbourne Town 3
Sholing 4
AFC Totton 0
Plymouth Parkway 0
Clevedon 1
Daventry 6
Berkhamsted Town 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Belper Town 2
Tilbury 2
Waltham Abbey 1
Romford 1
Grays 2
Staines -
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Westfields 1
Aylesbury United 3
Thamesmead 2
Redhill 0
Littlehampton 2
Sittingbourne 3
Hungerford 4
Cove 0
Moneyfields 0
Bashley 2
Hamworthy United 2
Hallen 1
Brockenhurst 0
Poole Town 2
Quarter-finals
Macclesfield -
TBD -
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Carlton Town 1
Matlock 0
Chorley 0
Vauxhall 4
Stamford 4
Wulfrunians 1
AFC Fylde 0
Ashton United 1
Hednesford 3
Telford 1
Skelmersdale 0
West Auckland Town 5
Grimsby -
TBD -
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Stockport County 1
Brighouse Town 0
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 0
Rugby 6
Blaby & Whetstone 0
Coventry Sphinx 0
Worcester 4
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Lincoln City -
Bradford PA 2
Guiseley 1
Scarborough Athletic 3
Penrith 4
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Kidderminster -
Wrexham -
TBD -
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Hyde -
Workington 2
Burscough 1
Roofing 4
FC Guisborough Town 6
Curzon Ashton 2
Lancaster 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Stourbridge 3
Southport -
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Halesowen 5
Tipton Town 0
Frickley 0
Marske United 3
Colwyn Bay 1
Harrogate 0
Warrington Town 2
Ossett Town 4
Trafford 2
Altrincham 1
Mickleover 5
Corby 8
Tamworth -
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Worksop 5
Stalybridge 3
Leamington 2
Solihull Moors 3
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
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Halifax -
North Ferriby United 4
Buxton 1
Cammell Laird 0
Runcorn Linnets 1
TBD -
TBD -
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Alfreton -
Brackley 2
Gresley 1
Stafford 0
Boston United 4
Atherstone 1
Coalville Town 0
Ramsbottom Utd 0
Barrow 3
Chester -
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Gateshead -
Hemel Hempstead 5
FC Witham Town 4
Margate 1
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Lewes 1
Chalfont St Peter 0
Whitehawk 0
Sutton 1
Hornchurch 4
Spalding United 1
Haringey Borough 1
Wealdstone 4
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Hereford -
Ebbsfleet 1
Folkestone 0
Farnborough 0
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Dartford -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Histon 4
Royston Town 0
St Ives Town 3
Concord Rangers 4
Chatham 2
Whyteleafe 1
Faversham 0
Horsham FC 2
Tonbridge 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Billericay 0
St. Albans 2
Dover Ath. 3
Guernsey FC 2
Cambridge City 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Eastleigh 4
Mangotsfield 0
Maidenhead 0
Oxford City 1
Boreham Wood 3
Barton 0
Merstham 1
Maidstone 4
Bromley 1
Burgess Hill 0
Harlow 2
Heybridge 3
Bath City 2
Gosport Borough 0
Bristol Manor Farm 5
Bridgwater United 6
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Salisbury -
Gloucester City 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Bideford 1
Yate 2
Arlesey 1
Thurrock 0
Bedford 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Weymouth 6
Bognor Regis 3
Portchester 0
Cirencester 2
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Braintree -
Forest Green -
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Chipstead 2
Chertsey Town 1
Hendon 0
Stortford 5
Needham Market 3
Dunstable Town 1
Sleaford Town -
Sudbury -
TBD -
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TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Biggleswade Town 2
Chelmsford 0
Binfield 1
Leatherhead 2
North Greenford Utd. 4
FC Clacton 2
Neots 3
Canvey Island 4
Shortwood 1
Dorchester 0
Burnham FC 1
Didcot 2
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Aldershot -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
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Luton -
Brislington 3
Truro 2
Basingstoke 1
Weston-super-Mare 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Welling -
Hartley Wintney 5
Eastbourne Town 1
Sholing 0
Clevedon 2
Daventry 3
Belper Town 1
Tilbury 0
Grays 3
Staines 3
Aylesbury United 0
Thamesmead 1
Sittingbourne 2
Hungerford 3
Bashley 0
Hamworthy United 2
Poole Town 4
Semi-finals
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Carlton Town 1
Vauxhall 3
Stamford 4
Ashton United 2
Hednesford 5
West Auckland Town 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
Stockport County 0
Rushall 1
Rugby 0
Worcester 2
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Bradford PA 2
Penrith 1
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Workington 4
FC Guisborough Town 1
Curzon Ashton 0
Stourbridge 3
Southport -
TBD -
Halesowen 2
Marske United 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ossett Town 1
Trafford 2
Corby 4
Tamworth -
TBD -
Worksop 0
Solihull Moors 4
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
North Ferriby United 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
TBD -
Alfreton -
Brackley 2
Boston United 0
Atherstone 0
Barrow 4
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Hemel Hempstead 3
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Lewes 0
Sutton 1
Hornchurch 6
Wealdstone 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Ebbsfleet 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
TBD -
Dartford -
Barnet -
TBD -
Histon 1
Concord Rangers 2
Chatham 1
Horsham FC 0
Tonbridge 1
St. Albans 2
Dover Ath. 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Eastleigh 2
Oxford City 3
Boreham Wood 2
Maidstone 0
Bromley 1
Heybridge 2
Bath City 3
Bridgwater United 0
TBD -
Salisbury -
Gloucester City 9
Yate 2
Arlesey 1
Hampton & Richmond 5
Weymouth 2
Cirencester 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
Chipstead 1
Stortford 6
Needham Market 2
Sudbury 1
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Biggleswade Town 5
Leatherhead 1
North Greenford Utd. 1
Canvey Island 2
Shortwood 1
Didcot 0
TBD -
Aldershot -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Luton -
Brislington 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
TBD -
Welling -
Hartley Wintney 5
Clevedon 4
Daventry 4
Grays 0
Staines 4
Sittingbourne 1
Hungerford 0
Poole Town 2
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Macclesfield 7
Vauxhall 0
Stamford 0
Hednesford 2
Grimsby 3
Rushall 0
Worcester 1
Lincoln City 4
Bradford PA 2
Kidderminster 3
Wrexham 2
Hyde 0
Workington 1
Stourbridge 3
Southport 6
Marske United 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Corby 3
Tamworth 4
Solihull Moors 1
Nuneaton 0
Halifax 2
North Ferriby United 1
Alfreton 3
Brackley 1
Barrow 0
Chester 0
Gateshead 1
Hemel Hempstead 3
Sutton 5
Hornchurch 0
Hereford 1
Ebbsfleet 1
Dartford 2
Barnet 3
Concord Rangers 0
Chatham 0
St. Albans 2
Dover Ath. 3
Oxford City 0
Boreham Wood 1
Heybridge 0
Bath City 0
Salisbury 1
Gloucester City 3
Hampton & Richmond 1
Weymouth 1
Braintree 2
Forest Green 0
Stortford 1
Needham Market 0
Cambridge Utd 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Canvey Island 0
Shortwood 3
Aldershot 2
Woking 0
Luton 1
Brislington 0
Welling 1
Hartley Wintney 1
Daventry 6
Staines 1
Poole Town 0