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Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Atlet Kiev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Cherevatyi G.
Own Goal
78' Event
Baranovskyi A.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga game between Penuel Kryvyi Rih and Atlet Kiev finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
30%
Draws
62%
Atlet Kiev
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlet Kiev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Atlet Kiev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atlet Kiev are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 10%
Atlet Kiev Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penuel Kryvyi Rih Atlet Kiev
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Atlet Kiev
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Top Goalscorer Baranovskyi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atlet Kiev Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penuel Kryvyi Rih 10 / 100
Atlet Kiev 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Atlet Kiev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlet Kiev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atlet Kiev conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Penuel Kryvyi Rih scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Penuel Kryvyi Rih has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penuel Kryvyi Rih VS Atlet Kiev
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penuel Kryvyi Rih

(Home)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

Atlet Kiev

(Away)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
21 Sept
SC Poltava 2
0 : 3
Atlet Kiev
13 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 2
Karbon Cherkasy
04 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 0
Oleksandriya 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)