Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Metalist Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Porokh B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
30%
Draws
58%
Metalist Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metalist Kharkiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metalist Kharkiv come out ahead of Penuel Kryvyi Rih on wins alone.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Metalist Kharkiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Metalist Kharkiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 18%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penuel Kryvyi Rih Metalist Kharkiv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Metalist Kharkiv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Porokh B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penuel Kryvyi Rih 32 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Metalist Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metalist Kharkiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metalist Kharkiv let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Penuel Kryvyi Rih found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Penuel Kryvyi Rih stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penuel Kryvyi Rih VS Metalist Kharkiv
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penuel Kryvyi Rih

(Home)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

Metalist Kharkiv

(Away)
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -