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Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Rebel Kyiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Bryzhenko O.
40'
Kaplunov I.
40'
Kaplunov I.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga game between Penuel Kryvyi Rih and Rebel Kyiv finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rebel Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
30%
Draws
62%
Rebel Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rebel Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Rebel Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Rebel Kyiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Rebel Kyiv have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 10%
Rebel Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penuel Kryvyi Rih Rebel Kyiv
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Rebel Kyiv
0:3
Apr 13, 2026 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Rebel Kyiv
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Druha Liga
Rebel Kyiv vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Rebel Kyiv
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rebel Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Bryzhenko O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrukhiv B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penuel Kryvyi Rih 14 / 100
Rebel Kyiv 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Rebel Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rebel Kyiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rebel Kyiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Penuel Kryvyi Rih found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Penuel Kryvyi Rih remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penuel Kryvyi Rih VS Rebel Kyiv
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penuel Kryvyi Rih

(Home)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

Rebel Kyiv

(Away)
03 Oct
Rebel Kyiv
1 : 2
Lozova
27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
12 Sept
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 1
Rebel Kyiv
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Dnister Zalishchyky 9 5 2 2 17:13 17
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 9 1 4 4 12:19 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)