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Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Trostyanets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Buryak R.
56' Event
Bokulev B.
76' Event
Chukwuemeka N.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga game between Penuel Kryvyi Rih and Trostyanets finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trostyanets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
35%
Draws
56%
Trostyanets
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trostyanets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Penuel Kryvyi Rih haven't matched Trostyanets's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Trostyanets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trostyanets here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 15%
Trostyanets Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penuel Kryvyi Rih Trostyanets
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Trostyanets
1:3
Mar 28, 2026 Druha Liga
Trostyanets vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Trostyanets
0:2
Aug 4, 2025 Druha Liga
Trostyanets vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokulev B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Trostyanets Compare

Top Goalscorer Chukwuemeka N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Buryak R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penuel Kryvyi Rih 10 / 100
Trostyanets 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Trostyanets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trostyanets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Trostyanets conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Penuel Kryvyi Rih scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Penuel Kryvyi Rih remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penuel Kryvyi Rih VS Trostyanets
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penuel Kryvyi Rih

(Home)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
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Trostyanets

(Away)
06 Oct
Trostyanets
2 : 4
FC Chernihiv
27 Sept
Trostyanets
2 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
05 Sept
SC Poltava 2
0 : 0
Trostyanets
29 Aug
Trostyanets
0 : 0
Karbon Cherkasy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 8 6 2 0 20:7 20
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 8 4 1 3 15:14 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)