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Penya Independent vs Porreres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Penya Independent and Porreres finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Penya Independent
6%
Draws
4%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penya Independent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porreres haven't matched Penya Independent's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Penya Independent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Penya Independent Clean Sheet 68%
Porreres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Independent Porreres
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Penya Independent
1:1
May 31, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Porreres
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Porreres
3:2
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Penya Independent
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Independent 95 / 100
Porreres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Independent Porreres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Penya Independent scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Porreres conceded in 78% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Penya Independent has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Porreres
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Formentera0
Porreres3
Constancia1
Penya Independent2
Final
Porreres1
Penya Independent1