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Penya Independent vs Porreres

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fontirroig D.
26' Event
Moreno C.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Alvarez Crego A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Penya Independent and Porreres finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penya Independent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Penya Independent
6%
Draws
4%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penya Independent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penya Independent come out ahead of Porreres on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Penya Independent's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Penya Independent Clean Sheet 20%
Porreres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Independent Porreres
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Penya Independent
1:1
May 31, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Porreres
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Independent vs Porreres
3:2
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Penya Independent
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penya Independent Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Fontirroig D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez Crego A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Independent 85 / 100
Porreres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Independent Porreres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya Independent found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Porreres let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Penya Independent has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Porreres
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Poblense34226647:1772
2Constancia341813355:3167
3Formentera34199668:3466
4Porreres341711651:3262
5Penya Independent341771059:3458
6Platges de Calvia341412851:3754
7Manacor341312954:3651
8Alcudia341381351:5347
9Binissalem341381335:3447
10Llosetense341281447:4544
11Santanyi3410131140:4543
12Mercadal3410101440:4340
13Felanitx3410101433:5040
14Collerense349121342:4839
15Portmany348131343:5137
16PE Sant Jordi34862030:5230
17Campos34482231:7520
18Migjorn34442622:8216