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Penya vs Encamp

Andorra Andorra

Andorra Cup 2018/2019
Sun, Jan 20, 2019
2 - 1
01:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Penya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Penya
15%
Draws
36%
Encamp
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Encamp haven't matched Penya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Penya a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Penya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Penya Clean Sheet 18%
Encamp Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Encamp
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.74 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2019 Andorra Cup
Penya vs Encamp
2:1
May 13, 2018 Primera Divisió
Encamp vs Penya
3:0
Apr 22, 2018 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Encamp
2:1
Feb 18, 2018 Primera Divisió
Encamp vs Penya
2:1
Nov 26, 2017 Primera Divisió
Penya vs Encamp
2:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 85 / 100
Encamp 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Encamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Encamp conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Encamp has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Penya found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Penya VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
26 Apr
Ordino
0 : 1
Penya
Page 1 of 6

Encamp

(Away)
15 Jan
Sant Julia
4 : 2
Encamp
16 Jan
UE Santa Coloma
6 : 2
Encamp
18 Feb
FC Santa Coloma
7 : 0
Encamp
19 Jan
UE Engordany
11 : 1
Encamp
19 May
Encamp
1 : 0
Lusitanos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
UE Santa Coloma 3
Carroi 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Penya 2
Encamp 1
TBD -
UE Engordany -
Sant Julia -
TBD -
Ordino 1
Atletic Escaldes 2
Lusitanos 3
La Massana 0
TBD -
FC Santa Coloma -
Quarter-finals
UE Santa Coloma 1
Inter Escaldes 0
Penya 1
UE Engordany 2
Sant Julia 3
Atletic Escaldes 0
Lusitanos 0
FC Santa Coloma 6
Semi-finals
UE Santa Coloma 0
UE Engordany 1
Sant Julia 1
FC Santa Coloma 2
Final
UE Engordany 2
FC Santa Coloma 0