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Penya vs UE Santa Coloma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Escobar Acuna R. A.
18'
El Ghazoui Y.
26'
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Penya and UE Santa Coloma finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Penya
35%
Draws
46%
UE Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UE Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UE Santa Coloma come out ahead of Penya on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Penya Clean Sheet 24%
UE Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya UE Santa Coloma
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.77 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs UE Santa Coloma
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Primera Divisió
Penya vs UE Santa Coloma
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Penya
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs UE Santa Coloma
2:2
Nov 30, 2024 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Penya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penya Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rony J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

UE Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 37 / 100
UE Santa Coloma 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya UE Santa Coloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Santa Coloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Penya scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

UE Santa Coloma let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Penya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penya VS UE Santa Coloma
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 6

UE Santa Coloma

(Away)
10 May
Esperanca
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
30 Apr
FC Santa Coloma
3 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
25 Apr
UE Santa Coloma
0 : 0
FC Santa Coloma
18 Apr
Penya
0 : 2
UE Santa Coloma
12 Apr
UE Santa Coloma
1 : 1
Inter Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)