Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penybont vs TNS

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penybont host TNS in the Cymru Premier. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. TNS have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Penybont have conceded 0.75 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Penybont have won 1 to TNS's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.06) back TNS to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Penybont
22%
Draws
18%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • TNS have won more games recently than Penybont.
  • Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TNS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%
TNS Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont TNS
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 23
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Penybont
6:0
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Penybont
6:2
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 58 / 100
TNS 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Penybont has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

TNS's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Penybont's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS TNS
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
16 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
3 : 0
Penybont
09 Jul
Penybont
0 : 1
FC Santa Coloma
23 Jun
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 3
Penybont
02 May
Penybont
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
25 Apr
Colwyn Bay
0 : 1
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

TNS

(Away)
23 Jul
Flora
1 : 0
TNS
14 Jul
TNS
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
07 Jul
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
TNS
26 Jun
Harland & Wolff
1 : 2
TNS
24 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 1
TNS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colwyn Bay00000:00
2Airbus UK Broughton FC00000:00
3Caernarfon00000:00
4Connahs Q.00000:00
5Haverfordwest00000:00
6TNS00000:00
7Flint Town00000:00
8Briton Ferry00000:00
9Cambrian United00000:00
10Llandudno FC00000:00
11Ammanford Town00000:00
12Barry Town00000:00
13Cardiff Metropolitan University00000:00
14Holywell Town FC00000:00
15Penybont00000:00
16Trefelin00000:00
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)