Sport Picks

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Penybont vs TNS

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Holden R.
42'
Harrison C.
46'
Sub
Holden R. In: Jefferies I.
Out: Holden R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Penybont
15%
Draws
46%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • TNS have won more games recently than Penybont.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TNS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Penybont Clean Sheet 10%
TNS Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont TNS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 21
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Penybont
6:0
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Penybont
6:2
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 34 / 100
TNS 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Penybont has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Penybont's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

TNS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS TNS
1.88 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

TNS

(Away)
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0
Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2
TNS
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3
TNS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 9 8 1 0 24:3 25
2 Penybont 10 7 3 0 20:8 24
3 Caernarfon 10 7 1 2 33:11 22
4 Connahs Q. 10 7 1 2 23:7 22
5 Barry Town 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
6 Colwyn Bay 10 6 1 3 20:14 19
7 Llandudno FC 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 10 5 0 5 17:15 15
9 Cambrian United 10 4 3 3 17:20 15
10 Cardiff Metropolitan University 9 4 2 3 19:11 14
11 Haverfordwest 9 3 1 5 7:14 10
12 Briton Ferry 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
13 Trefelin 10 0 3 7 4:24 3
14 Ammanford Town 10 0 3 7 7:28 3
15 Flint Town 10 0 2 8 8:24 2
16 Holywell Town FC 10 0 1 9 11:35 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)