Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Penybont in this FA Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Penybont have won more games recently than Undy.
- Penybont are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Penybont have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penybont, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Penybont here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penybont | Undy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 3.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Penybont vs Undy
7:0
Apr 20, 2019 Division 1
Undy vs Penybont
0:1
Feb 16, 2019 Division 1
Penybont vs Undy
2:1
Dec 16, 2017 Division 1
Undy vs Penybont
3:2
Oct 7, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Penybont vs Undy
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penybont 85 / 100
Undy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penybont Undy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Undy let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Penybont remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Undy has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Penybont VS Undy
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Penybont
(Home) 15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
28 Aug
Penybont
1 : 1 Flint Town
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
28 Aug
Penybont
1 : 1 Flint Town
21 Aug
Penybont
2 : 1 Llandudno FC
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0 TNS
Page 1 of 4
Undy
(Away) 26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4 Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4 Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7 Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0 Undy
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Undy
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0 Undy
15 Apr
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Undy
02 Apr
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0 Undy
12 Mar
Ammanford Town
5 : 2 Undy
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penlan Club 0
Ynysygerwn 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penybont -
TBD -
Undy 3
Chepstow Town 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Caersws FC 2
Rhostyllen 3
Buckley 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Porthmadog 3
Llanberis FC 0
Monmouth 3
Cwmamman United 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Goytre Utd -
TBD -
Abergavenny Town 1
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 5
Treharris Athletic 0
Llantwit Major 4
Risca United 0
Llandudno FC 4
Llay Welfare 2
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Caerau Ely 3
Brecon Corinthians 8
Bala -
TBD -
Brymbo 3
Llansantffraid Village 1
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Penydarren 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Llanrhaeadr -
TBD -
Saltney Town 3
Felinheli 1
Penrhyncoch -
TBD -
Aberaeron 1
Ynyshir Albions 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Porthcawl Town 0
Aber Valley 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Holyhead 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Newtown -
TBD -
Llanelwy 2
Berriew FC 7
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Cardiff Airport 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Caergybi 1
Cefn Albion 4
TNS -
TBD -
Llanfairfechan Town 1
Llanrwst United 2
Pure Swansea -
TBD -
Caldicot 6
Penparcau FC 3
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Pontymister 1
Dinas Powys 2
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 6
Llandudno Albion 5
Llanerchymedd 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers -
Flint Town -
TBD -
Llanfair United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 3
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
Trefelin 8
Fairwater 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Rhyl 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Holywell Town FC 2
Gresford 3
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Bodedern 5
Llandyrnog United 1
Llangefni 0
Ruthin Town 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pontardawe 3
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Garden Village 2
Goytre AFC 3
1/32-finals
Ynysygerwn 1
Cambrian United 3
Penybont 7
Undy 0
Denbigh 0
Caernarfon 4
Prestatyn 6
Rhostyllen 0
Buckley 3
Porthmadog 1
Monmouth 3
Llanelli 0
Goytre Utd 0
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 0
Llantwit Major 3
Llandudno FC 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 6
Brecon Corinthians 0
Bala 17
Brymbo 1
Pontypridd United 6
Penydarren 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Saltney Town 5
Penrhyncoch 4
Ynyshir Albions 1
Aberystwyth 9
Aber Valley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Holyhead 0
Newtown 6
Berriew FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Conwy Borough 3
Cefn Albion 2
TNS 6
Llanrwst United 0
Pure Swansea 6
Caldicot 3
Llanidloes Town 1
Bangor City 4
Dinas Powys 2
Afan Lido 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Guilsfield 5
Ammanford Town 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Flint Town 5
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 0
Briton Ferry 0
Trefelin 3
Connahs Q. 5
Rhyl 0
Gresford 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Bodedern 4
Ruthin Town 5
Pontardawe 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Barry Town 2
Goytre AFC 0
1/16-finals
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Buckley 2
Monmouth 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Bala 5
Pontypridd United 0
Saltney Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberystwyth 4
Cefn Druids 1
Newtown 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Conwy Borough 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Bangor City 0
Dinas Powys 2
Guilsfield 4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Flint Town 3
Trefelin 0
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 5
Ruthin Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 0
1/8-finals
Penybont 1
Caernarfon 0
Buckley 0
Taffs Well 2
Haverfordwest 1
Bala 3
Saltney Town 0
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Quarter-finals
Penybont 3
Taffs Well 2
Bala 2
Aberystwyth 1
TNS 2
Guilsfield 0
Connahs Q. 0
Colwyn Bay 2
Semi-finals
Penybont 1
Bala 0
TNS 1
Colwyn Bay 0
Final
Penybont 2
TNS 3
