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Penydarren vs Croesyceiliog FC

Wales Wales

Division 1
Sat, May 16, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penydarren host Croesyceiliog FC in the Division 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Penydarren at 1 goals for, 0.88 against; Croesyceiliog FC at 0.43 for, 2.29 against. Head-to-head, Penydarren have won 0 to Croesyceiliog FC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.65 vs 0.66, favoring Penydarren. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Penydarren
6%
Draws
4%
Croesyceiliog FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penydarren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penydarren come out ahead of Croesyceiliog FC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Penydarren taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 20%
Croesyceiliog FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penydarren Croesyceiliog FC
Matches Played 15 14
Wins 9 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2020 Division 1
Penydarren vs Croesyceiliog FC
0:0
Apr 21, 2020 Division 1
Croesyceiliog FC vs Penydarren
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penydarren 85 / 100
Croesyceiliog FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penydarren Croesyceiliog FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penydarren scored in 87% of their last 15 games.

Croesyceiliog FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

Croesyceiliog FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Penydarren VS Croesyceiliog FC
1 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.29
38% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Penydarren

(Home)
20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5
Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3
Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0
Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3
Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3
South Gower AFC
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Croesyceiliog FC

(Away)
03 Jul
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Croesyceiliog FC
02 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 0
Croesyceiliog FC
08 Oct
Croesyceiliog FC
0 : 5
Briton Ferry
17 Sept
Croesyceiliog FC
2 : 1
Ynysygerwn
06 Mar
Croesyceiliog FC
1 : 2
Ton Pentre
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