Sport Picks

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Penydarren vs Trefelin

Wales Wales

Division 1
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Owens C.
19' Event
Thomas D.
35' Event
Thomas D.

AI Match Summary

Trefelin in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trefelin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Penydarren
20%
Draws
20%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penydarren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Trefelin have won more games recently than Penydarren.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Penydarren taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penydarren Trefelin
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 0 3
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.93 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2020 Division 1
Trefelin vs Penydarren
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 Division 1
Penydarren vs Trefelin
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penydarren Compare

Top Goalscorer Owens C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Trefelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.09
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penydarren 38 / 100
Trefelin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penydarren Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penydarren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penydarren found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Trefelin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Trefelin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trefelin
0 Goals Scored 3.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Penydarren

(Home)
20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5
Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3
Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0
Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3
Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3
South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 3

Trefelin

(Away)
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)