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Penza vs Khimki 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kashmin D.
7' Event
Malozemov P.
34' Event
Trofimov O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2024 game between Penza and Khimki 2 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Penza
15%
Draws
20%
Khimki 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Khimki 2 haven't matched Penza's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Penza Clean Sheet 68%
Khimki 2 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Khimki 2
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Penza
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Khimki 2
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Penza
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Khimki 2 vs Penza
1:3
Mar 16, 2023 Club Friendly
Penza vs Khimki 2
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kashmin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolesnikov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Khimki 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malozemov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 41 / 100
Khimki 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Khimki 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Penza's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Khimki 2 conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Penza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
Page 1 of 7

Khimki 2

(Away)
23 May
R. Volgograd 2
3 : 2
Khimki 2
16 May
Khimki 2
1 : 0
Penza
10 May
Salyut-Belgorod
5 : 0
Khimki 2
03 May
Khimki 2
0 : 2
Znamya Truda
27 Apr
SKA Khabarovsk 2
2 : 0
Khimki 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Vladivostok 28 20 3 5 42:17 63
2 Kosmos 28 16 6 6 45:23 54
3 FK Kompozit 28 16 6 6 59:40 54
4 Salyut-Belgorod 28 13 9 6 49:34 48
5 Spartak Tambov 28 12 8 8 37:28 44
6 Khimki 2 28 13 5 10 37:34 44
7 Sakhalin 28 12 6 10 29:24 42
8 Penza 28 10 7 11 34:35 37
9 Ryazan 28 9 8 11 33:31 35
10 FC Oryol 28 10 5 13 34:32 35
11 Strogino Moscow 28 9 4 15 24:38 31
12 Arsenal Tula 2 28 9 4 15 31:40 31
13 SKA Khabarovsk 2 28 7 6 15 38:50 27
14 FK Kolomna 28 5 6 17 22:56 21
15 Kvant Obninsk 28 4 7 17 19:51 19
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)