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Penza vs Kursk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Konshin D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Penza and Kursk finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kursk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Penza
22%
Draws
60%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kursk come out ahead of Penza on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Kursk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kursk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%
Kursk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Kursk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Kursk
0:1
Oct 10, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Penza vs Kursk
3:1
Aug 1, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Penza
4:0
May 14, 2017 FNL 2 - Group 3
Penza vs Kursk
0:2
Oct 9, 2016 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Penza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Konshin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 18 / 100
Kursk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Penza scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Kursk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Penza has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Kursk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
01 Jul
Penza
1 : 2
Salyut-Belgorod
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
20 Jun
Rodina Moscow 3
9 : 1
Penza
13 Jun
Penza
2 : 3
M. Lipetsk
06 Jun
Saturn Ramenskoye
1 : 0
Penza
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Kursk

(Away)
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
27 Jun
Kursk
6 : 3
Saturn Ramenskoye
20 Jun
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
Kursk
13 Jun
Kursk
0 : 0
Ryazan
06 Jun
R. Volgograd 2
1 : 2
Kursk
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