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Penza vs Rodina Moscow 3 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Atamanskiy I.

AI Match Summary

Rodina Moscow 3 in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rodina Moscow 3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Penza
20%
Draws
69%
Rodina Moscow 3
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodina Moscow 3 lately — more wins on the board than Penza.
  • Rodina Moscow 3 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Rodina Moscow 3 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Penza Clean Sheet 16%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Rodina Moscow 3
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Rodina Moscow 3
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Penza
9:1
Sep 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Rodina Moscow 3
2:0
May 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Penza
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Top Goalscorer Atamanskiy I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 10 / 100
Rodina Moscow 3 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Rodina Moscow 3

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rodina Moscow 3 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodina Moscow 3's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Penza scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Penza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Rodina Moscow 3
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Penza
1 : 1
Saturn Ramenskoye
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
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Rodina Moscow 3

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
26 Sept
Strogino Moscow
2 : 5
Rodina Moscow 3
19 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
3 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk 2
12 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow 3
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
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