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Penzugyor SE vs Dunaujvaros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Szabo L.
74' Event
Dobos A.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Penzugyor SE and Dunaujvaros finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Penzugyor SE
15%
Draws
64%
Dunaujvaros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunaujvaros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Dunaujvaros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 13%
Dunaujvaros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penzugyor SE Dunaujvaros
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Dunaujvaros
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dunaujvaros vs Penzugyor SE
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penzugyor SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Szabo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dunaujvaros Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penzugyor SE 31 / 100
Dunaujvaros 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penzugyor SE Dunaujvaros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penzugyor SE's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dunaujvaros conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Dunaujvaros's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penzugyor SE VS Dunaujvaros
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penzugyor SE

(Home)
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

Dunaujvaros

(Away)
24 May
Dunaujvaros
2 : 3
Ferencvaros II
17 May
MTK Budapest II
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
10 May
Pecsi MFC
2 : 0
Dunaujvaros
03 May
Dunaujvaros
3 : 1
Szekszardi
26 Apr
Majosi
7 : 2
Dunaujvaros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
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