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Peoria IL vs St. Louis Ambush

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Peoria IL and St. Louis Ambush finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Louis Ambush.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Peoria IL
22%
Draws
18%
St. Louis Ambush
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Peoria IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Peoria IL come out ahead of St. Louis Ambush on wins alone.
  • Peoria IL are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Peoria IL have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Peoria IL Clean Sheet 20%
St. Louis Ambush Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peoria IL St. Louis Ambush
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 22 7
Draws 2 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs St. Louis Ambush
1:4
Jun 24, 2026 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs St. Louis Ambush
2:0
May 10, 2026 USL League Two
St. Louis Ambush vs Peoria IL
1:3
Jun 25, 2025 USL League Two
St. Louis Ambush vs Peoria IL
1:3
May 18, 2025 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs St. Louis Ambush
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peoria IL 58 / 100
St. Louis Ambush 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peoria IL St. Louis Ambush

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peoria IL's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Louis Ambush's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Peoria IL went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peoria IL VS St. Louis Ambush
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%