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PEPO vs MPS

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
PEPO Logo

PEPO

2 - 1
FT
MPS Logo

MPS

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pyyhtia N.
47' Event
Hietala A.
61' Event
Johnson J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PEPO in this Kakkonen Group A 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PEPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
PEPO
15%
Draws
18%
MPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PEPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • PEPO have won more games recently than MPS.
  • Win probability leans PEPO's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
PEPO Clean Sheet 20%
MPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PEPO MPS
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.16 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
PEPO vs MPS
2:1
May 4, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs PEPO
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PEPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyyhtia N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

MPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Hietala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PEPO 85 / 100
MPS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PEPO MPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PEPO scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

MPS has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: PEPO remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PEPO VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PEPO

(Home)
22 Aug
PEPO
5 : 1
HIFK
16 Aug
Lahden Reipas
1 : 2
PEPO
07 Aug
PEPO
4 : 1
MyPa
31 Jul
Union Plaani
0 : 2
PEPO
24 Jul
PEPO
3 : 2
PuiU Helsinki
Page 1 of 7

MPS

(Away)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)