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Perg vs ASK St.Valentin

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Steinbauer D.
80' Event
Sandner G.
90' Event
Buhringer M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberosterreich 2024/2025 game between Perg and ASK St.Valentin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Perg
15%
Draws
32%
ASK St.Valentin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perg come out ahead of ASK St.Valentin on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Perg taking it.
  • Regular Oberosterreich 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Perg Clean Sheet 20%
ASK St.Valentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perg ASK St.Valentin
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.81 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Perg
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs ASK St.Valentin
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs ASK St.Valentin
1:0
Sep 16, 2023 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Perg
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Perg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perg Compare

Top Goalscorer Steinbauer D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandner G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

ASK St.Valentin Compare

Top Goalscorer Buhringer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perg 85 / 100
ASK St.Valentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perg ASK St.Valentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perg scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

ASK St.Valentin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Perg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perg VS ASK St.Valentin
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perg

(Home)
15 Aug
Perg
2 : 0
Garsten
11 Aug
Gmunden
1 : 1
Perg
07 Aug
Perg
3 : 0
Vocklamarkt
12 Jun
Mondsee
4 : 2
Perg
03 Jun
Perg
5 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
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ASK St.Valentin

(Away)
14 Aug
ASK St.Valentin
0 : 3
Bad Ischl
11 Aug
Mondsee
4 : 1
ASK St.Valentin
07 Aug
ASK St.Valentin
2 : 0
Pregarten
13 Jun
Ostermiething
3 : 0
ASK St.Valentin
06 Jun
ASK St.Valentin
4 : 2
Bad Ischl
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