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Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Castellano F.
16'
Tremolada M.
31'
Bassino A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
27%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pergolettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Pergolettese haven't matched Folgore Caratese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pergolettese a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese
0:0
Jan 6, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese
3:1
Sep 6, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Pergolettese
0:0
Mar 29, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Pergolettese
0:0
Nov 16, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Pergolettese vs Folgore Caratese
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 50 / 100
Folgore Caratese 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pergolettese has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Pergolettese scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Folgore Caratese
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)