Sport Picks
Pergolettese vs Lecco
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema 
Match Events
11'
11'
Corti N.
22'
22'
Bonaiti S.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
Ferrandino D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pergolettese and Lecco finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pergolettese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pergolettese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pergolettese come out ahead of Lecco on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Pergolettese's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Lecco Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pergolettese | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lecco
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pergolettese
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lecco
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Pergolettese
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lecco
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pergolettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Corti N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferrandino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lecco Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pergolettese 36 / 100
Lecco 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pergolettese Lecco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lecco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Lecco has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Pergolettese scored in 57% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Pergolettese VS Lecco
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pergolettese
(Home) 06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
14 Aug
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1 Pergolettese
09 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Inter U23
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Inter U23
06 Aug
Pergolettese
1 : 0 Club Milano
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0 Lecco
11 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 2 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 3
Lecco
(Away) 07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0 Lecco
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
08 Aug
Lecco
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0 Lecco
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0 Lecco
20 May
Catania
3 : 3 Lecco
10 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
