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Pergolettese vs Lumezzane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pergolettese host Lumezzane in the Serie C - Group A. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Pergolettese at 1 goals for, 0.97 against; Lumezzane at 1.1 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, Pergolettese have won 3 to Lumezzane's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.00 - 0.69) back Pergolettese to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
32%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lumezzane average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Pergolettese's 1.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Pergolettese taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Lumezzane
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lumezzane
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Pergolettese
2:3
Mar 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lumezzane
1:0
Oct 29, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Pergolettese
0:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Lumezzane
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 40 / 100
Lumezzane 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Pergolettese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pergolettese scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Lumezzane has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Lumezzane
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6

Lumezzane

(Away)
13 Oct
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Lumezzane
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)