Sport Picks
Pergolettese vs OltrepoVoghera
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 
AI Match Summary
OltrepoVoghera in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored OltrepoVoghera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pergolettese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pergolettese have won more games recently than OltrepoVoghera.
- Win probability leans Pergolettese's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pergolettese | OltrepoVoghera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 13 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Pergolettese vs OltrepoVoghera
0:1
Nov 4, 2018 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Pergolettese
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pergolettese 95 / 100
OltrepoVoghera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pergolettese OltrepoVoghera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
OltrepoVoghera let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Pergolettese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
OltrepoVoghera lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pergolettese VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pergolettese
(Home) 20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Inter U23
06 Aug
Pergolettese
1 : 0 Club Milano
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
OltrepoVoghera
(Away) 05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0 OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0 OltrepoVoghera
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
24 Mar
Axys Zola
3 : 0 OltrepoVoghera
17 Mar
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1 OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pergolettese | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Modena | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 60:27 | 73 |
| 3 | Reggiana | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 57:28 | 66 |
| 4 | Fanfulla | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:52 | 57 |
| 5 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 52:31 | 56 |
| 6 | Crema | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 7 | Adrense | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 8 | Vigor Carpaneto | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 9 | Axys Zola | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:45 | 41 |
| 10 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 38:48 | 41 |
| 11 | Lentigione | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 40:51 | 39 |
| 13 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:46 | 36 |
| 14 | Mezzolara | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39:50 | 35 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 31:50 | 34 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 24:32 | 31 |
| 17 | USD Classe 1974 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 25:51 | 30 |
| 18 | OltrepoVoghera | 34 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 22:44 | 23 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
