Sport Picks
Pergolettese vs Pro Patria
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema 
Match Events
27'
27'
Careccia S.
38'
38'
Desogus J.
46'
46'
Sub
Schiro T. In: Giudici L.
Out: Schiro T.
AI Match Summary
Pergolettese in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pergolettese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
30%
50%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pro Patria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pro Patria haven't matched Pergolettese's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Pro Patria taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 18%
Pro Patria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pergolettese | Pro Patria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Pro Patria
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Pergolettese
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Pro Patria
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Patria vs Pergolettese
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pro Patria vs Pergolettese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pergolettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Careccia S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aidoo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Pro Patria Compare
Top Goalscorer Citterio G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pergolettese 15 / 100
Pro Patria 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pergolettese Pro Patria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pro Patria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pro Patria has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Pergolettese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Pergolettese found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Pergolettese VS Pro Patria
0.75 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pergolettese
(Home) 20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Inter U23
06 Aug
Pergolettese
1 : 0 Club Milano
25 Apr
Pergolettese
3 : 0 Lecco
Page 1 of 3
Pro Patria
(Away) 20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 0 Crema
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1 Gozzano
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3 Pro Patria
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1 Pro Patria
13 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
2 : 4 Pro Patria
28 Mar
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Pro Patria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
