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Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Corti N.
45'
Pala A.
55'
Sub
Satriano A. In: Comi G.
Out: Satriano A.

AI Match Summary

Pergolettese in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pergolettese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
27%
Pro Vercelli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pergolettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Pro Vercelli average 1.11 goals a game right now, well clear of Pergolettese's 0.93.
  • Win probability leans Pergolettese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Pro Vercelli
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.11
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Aug 26, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Pergolettese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergolettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Milesi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrovic T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pro Vercelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Comi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 59 / 100
Pro Vercelli 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Pro Vercelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pergolettese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pro Vercelli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Pergolettese scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Pro Vercelli
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Pro Vercelli

(Away)
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)