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Pergolettese vs Trento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Sub
Rossetti M. In: Evangelista C.
Out: Rossetti M.
63'
Sub
Ferrandino D. In: Corti N.
Out: Ferrandino D.
67'
Sub
Garetto M. In: Benedetti G.
Out: Garetto M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Pergolettese and Trento finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
32%
Trento
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trento come out ahead of Pergolettese on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 23%
Trento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Trento
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Trento
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Trento
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Pergolettese
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Pergolettese
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Trento
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 33 / 100
Trento 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Trento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pergolettese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Trento let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Pergolettese's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Trento
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
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Trento

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)