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Stadium Background

Pergolettese vs Virtus Verona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Amadio M.
21' Event
Fabbro M.
28'
Lambrughi A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
32%
Virtus Verona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Virtus Verona haven't matched Pergolettese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pergolettese a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Virtus Verona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 2
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.76
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Virtus Verona
2:2
Dec 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Virtus Verona
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergolettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Corti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Padalino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Virtus Verona Compare

Top Goalscorer Amadio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabbro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 59 / 100
Virtus Verona 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Virtus Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Verona let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Pergolettese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pergolettese scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Virtus Verona
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Verona

(Away)
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Virtus Verona
0 : 1
Pavonese
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)